
Cryptocurrency News for Sunday, July 26, 2026: Bitcoin at $64,000, Ethereum below $1,900, flows into spot ETFs, FOMC meeting July 28-29, top 10 popular cryptocurrencies, and scenarios for investors
The cryptocurrency market enters the last week of July 2026 in a state of tense equilibrium. The total market capitalization of digital assets hovers around $2.28 trillion, with Bitcoin consolidating within the range of $64,000-$66,000 as investors weigh three forces pulling the market in different directions: the FOMC meeting on July 28-29, oil which has returned to three-digit values amid escalating tensions in the Middle East, and the first positive flows into spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in two months. Below is a comprehensive overview of cryptocurrency news, key quotes, and the top 10 most popular cryptocurrencies for investors worldwide.
- Bitcoin trades around $64,100, having lost approximately 1-1.5% over the past day; BTC's market capitalization is about $1.28 trillion, with a dominance of around 56.4%.
- Ethereum is near $1,867, and ETH's share of the total market capitalization is about 9.85%.
- The total cryptocurrency market capitalization stands at about $2.28 trillion with a daily trading volume of approximately $63 billion.
- The Fear and Greed Index is at 27 points, indicating a "fear" zone, although a month earlier it was in an "extreme fear" level.
- Spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US have recorded their second consecutive week of inflows, but since the beginning of 2026, the net outflow remains negative—about $5 billion.
- Macro risk of the week is the FOMC meeting on July 28-29 and Brent oil, which closed the week at $97 per barrel after attempting to rise above $100.
Prices are as of the evening of Saturday, July 25, 2026. The cryptocurrency market operates 24/7, and prices change continuously—check the current data from your trading platform before trading.
Bitcoin Exchange Rate: Consolidation After the Toughest Half-Year Since 2022
Bitcoin is closing July within a narrow corridor. After a June plunge to an intraday low of around $58,200—the lowest value in 21 months—the first cryptocurrency has recovered to the $64,000-$66,000 range and has been trading sideways since. For comparison, the historical maximum around $126,000 was set in October 2025, and the year began above $93,000. Thus, the decline from the peak exceeds 48%, while approximately 30% since the beginning of 2026.
The structural picture remains mixed. On one hand, analysts observe a return of long-term holders to accumulation after a prolonged distribution phase, as well as a significant increase in demand among wallets with balances of 100-1000 BTC. Coinbase's CEO Brian Armstrong mentioned in June that the $60,000 area was a probable cycle bottom; a similar position has been voiced by Bitwise. On the other hand, analytics services point out that growth to $65,000 does not in itself negate the bearish phase: the market has not displayed classic capitulation, and summer volumes are traditionally thin, which makes any movements less representative.
Ethereum and Altcoins: ETH Trading Below Realized Price
Ethereum remains below the psychological mark of $1,900. However, on-chain metrics appear constructive for the first time in a long while: ETH is trading about 17% below the realized price—the average acquisition cost of all coins in circulation, which is around $2,300. Historically, such periods have corresponded to the undervaluation of the asset and a near cyclical bottom, yet of the five classic reversal indicators, only two have reached their historical values.
Over the past month, Ethereum outpaced Bitcoin in dynamics (around +19.7% against +11.7%), indicating cautious capital rotation towards altcoins. Nevertheless, a broad "altcoin season" is still absent: growth is spotty and concentrated in specific narratives—privacy, infrastructure for tokenizing real assets, and derivative platforms.
Flows into Cryptocurrency ETFs: Recovery Exists, But It Is Fragile
The dynamics of spot ETFs remain the main structural driver of price: researchers estimate that flows into ETFs explain about 45% of weekly Bitcoin movements. The scenario for 2026 looks as follows:
- June 2026—a net outflow of about $4.5 billion, the worst month since product launches began in January 2024.
- Eight-week series of outflows in May-July totaled more than $8.2 billion.
- Beginning of July—turnaround: $221.7 million inflow on July 2 and about $510 million over three sessions.
- Week ending July 17—$75.7 million net inflow, the second consecutive positive week.
- Year-to-date results—a net outflow of about $5.2–$5.4 billion; total assets under management have decreased to approximately $74 billion from a peak of over $150 billion in the autumn of 2025.
A key detail for investors: the average entry price for buyers of Bitcoin ETFs is estimated at around $83,800. At current quotes, the average institutional holder is at a loss of approximately 23-25%, which explains why inflows remain episodic rather than stable. Last Thursday, funds again showed an outflow of about $225 million, interrupting a weekly series of inflows nearing $1 billion.
Macroeconomics: Fed, Oil, and Treasury Yields
The main event of the week for the cryptocurrency market lies outside of it. The meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will take place on July 28-29, 2026, with the decision announced on Wednesday at 14:00 Eastern Time. The rate is held in the range of 3.50-3.75%, and updated economic forecasts and "dot plots" will not be published at this meeting. The market consensus is to maintain the rate; however, a significant number of participants are pricing in the probability of an increase, as nine of the eighteen FOMC members previously indicated at least one tightening by the end of the year.
The second factor is energy. Brent oil closed the week at $97 per barrel, gaining about 10-12% over five sessions amid ongoing strikes against Iran, attacks by Houthis on tankers in the Red Sea, and disruptions in navigation in the Hormuz Strait. The rise in energy prices fuels inflationary expectations, pushes US Treasury yields higher, and increases the opportunity costs of holding Bitcoin, which does not yield interest. It is this linkage—"expensive oil → high rates → pressure on risky assets"—that remains the main constraint for the cryptocurrency market in July.
Top 10 Most Popular Cryptocurrencies as of July 26, 2026
Below is the ranking of the most liquid and sought-after digital assets by market capitalization. The order in the top ten is dynamic, especially for positions four through ten, where the gap in capitalization is minimal.
- Bitcoin (BTC)—around $64,100. The reserve asset of the digital market, with a capitalization of about $1.28 trillion, a dominance of 56.4%. The main beneficiary of institutional demand and the primary victim of rising rates.
- Ethereum (ETH)—around $1,867. The base layer for smart contracts, DeFi, and tokenization; the network hosts the majority of the world's issuance of stablecoins.
- Tether (USDT)—$1.00. The largest stablecoin with a circulation of about $184 billion and a market share of around 59%. The issuer is preparing a separate token that complies with US legislation.
- BNB—around $568. The utility token of the largest exchange by volume and its corresponding blockchain, featuring quarterly burn-offs of supply.
- USD Coin (USDC)—$1.00. A regulated stablecoin with an issuance of about $73 billion, leading in annual transaction volume and preferred for institutional settlements.
- XRP—around $1.09. An asset for cross-border payments; supported by the easing of previous regulatory pressures and the launch of ETFs in certain markets.
- Solana (SOL)—around $73.9. A high-performance blockchain; the ecosystem for tokenized real assets has reached historic highs, preparing to transition to a new consensus protocol.
- TRON (TRX)—around $0.33. The infrastructure for stablecoin payments: the network holds about one-third of the global stablecoin circulation and dominates in real retail transfers.
- Hyperliquid (HYPE)—around $57.4. The token of a decentralized derivatives platform—one of the few assets that has maintained a premium to the market in 2026.
- Dogecoin (DOGE)—around $0.070. The largest meme coin with a market capitalization of about $12 billion; price movement remains driven by liquidity and market sentiment rather than fundamental factors.
Notably, Zcash (ZEC) is trading around $475. Over the year, the coin has appreciated approximately 1,190%, surpassing Monero and becoming the largest private asset. Key drivers include the closure of a regulatory investigation in January, an application for the first spot ETF for a private coin in the US, a reduction in issuance post-halving, and an increase in the share of coins in "shielded" pools to about one-third of supply. Risks are also evident: a technical failure in May required an urgent hard fork, and European regulations will restrict anonymous assets starting in 2027.
Cryptocurrency Regulation: EU Tightens, US Slows Down, Asia Speeds Up
The regulatory agenda of the week was busy and importantly divergent for investors:
- The European Union included 14 crypto platforms registered in Georgia, Panama, the UAE, the Marshall Islands, Kyrgyzstan, and Belarus in a new sanctions package and created a mechanism to ban operations with third-country providers. The transition period for MiCA has ended: 244 companies have received authorization in the EU.
- The United States has again postponed deadlines for the market structure law (CLARITY Act): the Senate Majority Leader acknowledged that the bill likely will not be passed before the summer recess. Concurrently, an SEC commissioner warned that some crypto operations could fall under securities legislation, while five federal regulators proposed banking KYC standards for stablecoin issuers.
- The United Kingdom has approved the final version of the regime for trading platforms, custodians, and stablecoin issuers with mandatory authorization starting in October 2027; the tax authority has retroactively collected over £8 million from 502 investors over two years, and new OECD reporting rules will come into effect in 2026.
- Russia will introduce regulation for trading, storage, and settlements in digital assets starting September 1; the country's largest bank announced plans to launch crypto infrastructure by December, with requirements for licensed intermediaries to be applied starting July 2027.
- Latin America: the Argentine government is considering a bill allowing investment funds to hold Bitcoin and use digital assets as collateral for loans.
Institutional Infrastructure: Stablecoins, Tokenization, and the Departure of a Market Veteran
The most significant corporate news of the weekend is the announcement regarding the closure of the BitMEX exchange on September 23, 2026. The platform, which was at the forefront of perpetual futures, is exiting a market where liquidity is increasingly concentrated among regulated and larger players. In parallel, an opposing trend is developing—the arrival of traditional corporations:
- One of the world's largest smartphone manufacturers is integrating stablecoin support directly into its payment wallet.
- A major American asset management firm's digital asset division is launching its own stablecoin on Ethereum.
- Tokenized shares on a blockchain developed by a major retail broker have shown a fivefold increase in the volume of real assets, with more than ten securities trading daily over $500,000.
- A mortgage agency in the US has begun accepting cryptocurrency as collateral for standard home loans.
- A company known for its strategy of accumulating Bitcoin on its balance sheet is now valued by the market below the value of its Bitcoin reserves—a troubling signal for the "corporate treasury in BTC" model.
Market Sentiments and On-Chain Metrics
The Fear and Greed Index, currently at 27 points, indicates that the market remains in a state of fear but has moved out of the "extreme fear" characteristic of June. Bitcoin's dominance at 56.4% shows a defensive stance from investors: capital is concentrating in the most liquid asset. The total capitalization of stablecoins has decreased by about $10 billion since the peak in May—this is a classic indicator of diminishing "dry powder" in the market, which should be monitored as closely as price charts. The DeFi segment, on the other hand, has shown weekly growth of around 9.8%, with Polkadot and XRP Ledger leading in dynamics among major ecosystems.
Week Calendar for July 27 - August 2, 2026
- Monday, July 27—Publication of quarterly metrics for privacy computing protocols; unlocking about 0.9% of the Toncoin supply valued at approximately $70 million (July 26).
- Tuesday-Wednesday, July 28-29—FOMC meeting and press conference with the Fed chair. A critical event for all risk assets.
- Throughout the week—Quarterly earnings reports from the tech sector and crypto companies, PCE inflation data, daily statistics on flows into spot ETFs.
- Constant backdrop—News regarding the Hormuz Strait and the Red Sea, influencing the trajectory of oil and, indirectly, risk appetite.
What This Means for Investors: Three Scenarios
Base Scenario (Most Likely). The Fed maintains the rate, rhetoric stays hawkish, Bitcoin continues to trade in the range of $60,000-$70,000. The strategy—averaging positions, increasing bank and liquidity holdings, avoiding high leverage.
Positive Scenario. Easing geopolitical tensions, a drop in oil prices to $80, and signals of readiness to ease policies in 2027 return stable inflows into ETFs. In this case, the target zone becomes the area of $75,000–$83,800—the average entry price level for institutional buyers, where the activation of "break-even" sales is probable.
Negative Scenario. A rate increase or a new escalation in the Persian Gulf, with oil exceeding $110, could pull Bitcoin back to June lows around $58,000, followed by tests of lower support levels.
Frequently Asked Questions about the Cryptocurrency Market in July 2026
How much is Bitcoin worth today? As of the end of July 25, 2026, the price of Bitcoin is approximately $64,100. Due to 24/7 trading, the quote changes continuously.
Why are cryptocurrencies falling in 2026? The main reasons include the sustained high key rate in the US, rising government bond yields, expensive oil due to conflicts in the Middle East, and capital outflows from spot ETFs, which began in spring and peaked in June.
Has the bear market ended? The answer is not straightforward. On-chain metrics (accumulation of long-term holders, trading ETH below realized price) suggest a nearing bottom, yet the lack of capitulative volumes and negative annual flows in ETFs do not allow for a confirmed reversal statement.
Which cryptocurrencies are most popular among investors? The top ten by capitalization include Bitcoin, Ethereum, Tether, BNB, USD Coin, XRP, Solana, TRON, Hyperliquid, and Dogecoin. Notably, in 2026, private assets led by Zcash have surged.
Day's Summary
Sunday, July 26, 2026, sees the cryptocurrency market in wait mode. Bitcoin at $64,000, Ethereum below $1,900, market capitalization around $2.28 trillion—numbers that in themselves do not set the direction. The trajectory for the coming weeks will be determined on Wednesday, July 29: the Fed's decision and rhetoric will dictate the cost of money, thus influencing institutional investors' appetite for non-yielding assets. Until then, a rational tactic remains discipline: controlling position sizes, avoiding excessive leverage, and monitoring flows into ETFs as the most honest indicator of real institutional demand.
This material is for informational purposes only and is not an individual investment recommendation. Transactions involving digital assets carry a high risk of total capital loss.