Key Economic Events and Corporate Reports on Sunday, February 15, 2026. Analysis of Global Markets, Reports from US, Europe, Asia, and Russia, Dynamics of S&P 500, Euro Stoxx 50, Nikkei 225, and MOEX for CIS Investors.
Sundays rarely bring "direct" trading impulses: major exchanges are closed, liquidity is limited, and market reactions often shift to futures and currencies. However, it is on such days that the risk profile for the start of the week is formed. On February 15, 2026, the focus for investors is on inflation signals from the Middle East, preliminary GDP data from Japan, and public comments from the President of the European Central Bank. For the CIS audience, this sets a crucial benchmark: it establishes the tone for global risk appetite, influences dollar and yen dynamics, and, through commodity and currency channels, impacts the sensitivity of Russian assets and the MOEX to external conditions.
Market Context: What Matters Before the Week Opens
Before the start of a new week, investors typically look at three layers of market "temperature": (1) sentiment in the US through the dynamics of the S&P 500 and futures, (2) expectations regarding rates in Europe via the debt market and ECB rhetoric, (3) the Asian cycle through Japan and China, where macro data can quickly alter yen movement and regional indices. During weekends, a key indicator is the behavior of futures on American indexes and commodities during electronic sessions: while not always a precise forecast, it is a helpful marker of how the market digests news ahead of Monday's "cash."
- US: sensitivity to inflation surprises and bond yields is critical; futures often provide the first signal for the week's opening.
- Europe: the driving factor is expectations concerning rate trajectory and ECB tone; even a single speech can shift probabilities in prices.
- Asia: Japan's GDP is one of the key triggers for the yen and the Nikkei 225; the effect then "cascades" into global portfolios.
Economic Events of the Day: Calendar and Time
Below are time markers for key events. For CIS readers, it’s convenient to remember: MSK = GMT+3. If you are trading through international brokers, verify publication times with the time zone of your platform.
- Saudi Arabia — Inflation (CPI) for January: 06:00 GMT (09:00 MSK). The dynamics of core components and price stability in services are important. For the markets, this signals "internal pressure" in the regional economy and serves as an indirect factor in discussions about monetary policy in countries with currencies pegged to the dollar.
- Eurozone — Public Comments from the ECB President: 09:30 GMT (12:30 MSK). The market will be attentive to phrasing regarding the balance of risks (inflation vs growth) and hints about the duration of restrictive policy.
- Japan — Preliminary GDP for Q4: 23:50 GMT (02:50 MSK, February 16). Key components include domestic consumption, investments, and external demand contribution. An upward surprise typically supports cyclical stories and strengthens the yen; a downward surprise raises caution and increases demand for defensive assets.
How Macro Could Impact Markets: Three Scenarios
- Saudi Inflation Surprises to the Upside: the probability of more "hawkish" rhetoric in the region increases, heightening interest in the dollar and short-duration instruments. This could lead to a more cautious opening for risk assets.
- Japan's GDP Above Expectations: the chance of a stronger yen increases, although the Nikkei 225 may react ambivalently (a strong yen sometimes pressures exporters). On a global level, this supports the idea of sustainable growth in Asia.
- ECB's Hawkish Commentary: European yields may rise, potentially cooling demand for stocks in the Euro Stoxx 50 and intensifying rotation between sectors (banks/defensive sectors vs "long" growth stories).
Corporate Reports: What is Released on Sunday
As of calendar schedules, Sundays typically see a limited number of earnings reports, with the largest issuers (the first tier of S&P 500, Euro Stoxx 50, Nikkei 225, and MOEX) reporting more often during weekdays. Therefore, February 15 is more of a "preparatory" day: investors refine expectations for upcoming releases that week, read preliminary materials, and adjust risk limits.
Nonetheless, a selection of companies (often mid-cap or international listings) may still appear in calendars, and the market looks at a standard set of metrics: revenue, margin, cash flow, debt load, and guidance.
Earnings Calendar: Pre-Market and After Hours
Below are examples of companies that may appear in calendars for this date. Keep in mind that weekend days often feature delays and "floating" statuses, so be sure to verify the final publication time through official announcements from issuers.
| Company | Region / Market | Publication Window | What Typically Matters to Investors |
|---|---|---|---|
| Otter Tail Corporation | USA | After Close (Guideline) | Stability of regulated return, capital expenditures, cash flow forecast. |
| Grupo Aeroméxico | North America (International Listing) | After Close (Guideline) | Passenger traffic, revenue per seat-kilometer, fuel costs, debt load. |
| ReNew Energy Global | India / International Market | Pre-Market (Guideline) | Capacity addition rates, contract base, margin and debt servicing. |
| TreeHouse Foods | USA | Expected (Floating Status) | Pricing, commodity pressure on margins, dynamics of private labels and volumes. |
| Vitesse Energy | USA | Expected (Floating Status) | Hedging, capital expenditures, free cash flow, and capital return policies. |
US, Europe, Asia, and Russia: Highlights by Indexes
- S&P 500: primary sensitivity is to rates and inflation expectations. During the weekend, the dynamics of futures and yields are more significant than individual corporate news.
- Euro Stoxx 50: focus is on ECB communications and impacts on banks, industry, and consumption sectors. Even without a significant flow of earnings reports, the European market could receive a boost from the regulator's rhetoric.
- Nikkei 225: the key trigger is Japanese GDP and yen reaction. For global portfolios, Japan often serves as a barometer for the Asian cycle.
- MOEX: with basic trading in stocks closed on Sunday, the reference is external risk appetite, oil, dollar rates, and expectations for Monday. For CIS investors, it is essential to pre-emptively assess gap scenarios at the opening in response to changes in the global backdrop.
Key Risks of the Day
- Low Liquidity: movements in futures and individual instruments during weekends can be "noisy" and not always confirmed at the opening of major venues.
- Macro Surprises: unexpected figures on inflation or GDP over the weekend can shift currencies and rate expectations even before Monday.
- Uncertainty Regarding Reporting Calendars: publication delays or time clarification are common on weekends; this increases the risk of misaligning trades with events.
What Investors Should Pay Attention To
- Check the "Map of the Week": compile a list of key events for the next 3-5 trading days (macro, regulator decisions, major company reports) and pre-establish risk levels.
- Currency Scenarios: in the dollar-yen pairing, the reaction to Japan's GDP could be swift; this affects global portfolios and, indirectly, commodities assets.
- ECB Signals: assess not only the "hawkishness/dovishness" but also specifics: balance of risks, conditions for rate changes, and focus on service and wage inflation.
- Preparing for Monday on MOEX: for CIS investors, it is beneficial to define an action plan in advance for significant changes in the external backdrop (oil, dollar, global indices) — especially if using leverage.
February 15, 2026, is a day when macroeconomic signals may prove more critical than the usual flow of corporate reports. Saudi inflation, preliminary Japan GDP, and ECB rhetoric form a trio of factors that could affect currencies, rate expectations, and sentiment across global markets before the week opens. The practical task for investors is not to try to "catch" every move in a thin market but to prepare scenarios, set risk limits, and approach Monday with a plan for key levels and events.
