Key Economic Events and Corporate Reports for Monday, February 16, 2026: Japan's GDP, Eurozone Industrial Production, Canada's Inflation, and Market Closures in the US and China. Analysis of Global Stock Market Impact.
- Liquidity Below Normal: US and Canada are closed (Washington’s Birthday/Presidents’ Day and Family Day), mainland China is closed for the Lunar New Year; Hong Kong operates on a half-day schedule.
- Economic Events of the Day: Japan's GDP for Q4 2025; Eurozone industrial production for December; Canada’s CPI for January has been postponed to February 17.
- Market Focus: S&P 500 remains cash-trading free, with reactions shifting to futures/FX; Euro Stoxx 50 and Nikkei 225 gain more weight; MOEX is sensitive to currency, commodities, and local corporate news.
February 16, 2026 — a typical "thin Monday": part of the major trading centers are offline, meaning even moderate macroeconomic news or corporate reports may result in disproportionate price movements. Below is a condensed calendar of economic events and a report overview for February 16, 2026, with a global focus and ties to the investment practices of the CIS region.
Day Calendar: Events Shaping the "Risk Agenda"
- US: No trading (Washington’s Birthday/Presidents’ Day). This dampens cash signals for the S&P 500 and reduces arbitrage between regions.
- Canada: No trading (Family Day). January CPI has been officially postponed to Tuesday, February 17.
- Mainland China: Stock exchanges are closed for the Spring Festival (Lunar New Year).
- Hong Kong: Half-day trading and a non-settlement day prior to the Lunar New Year — expect “ragged” quotes for China proxies.
- Japan (02:50 MSK): Initial GDP estimate for Q4 2025 — a key driver for Nikkei 225 and USD/JPY during the Asian session.
- Eurozone (13:00 MSK): Industrial production for December — sensitive for cyclical sectors of Euro Stoxx 50 and central bank rate expectations.
- Russia: Start of the Russian Business Week (February 16-20). The first day includes forums by the RSPP on personnel, technical regulation, and regulatory policy.
Asia: Japan's GDP and the Effect of China's "Holiday Vacuum"
Japan's GDP for Q4 2025 was weaker than expected: growth was around 0.2% year-on-year (annualized), with a quarterly pace of about 0.1%. In a "thin" market, this elevates the likelihood of movement through the currency channel (yen) and shifts sentiments into global futures.
The closure of mainland China narrows the space for recalibrating demand for commodities and for price signals from supply chains; Hong Kong remains an entry point, but the shortened session may distort the picture.
Europe: Industrial Production and Monetary Authority Rhetoric
December industrial production data from the Eurozone is one of the few “hard” indicators of the day. For Euro Stoxx 50, matters of importance include (1) the surprise direction relative to expectations, (2) sectoral reaction — industrial companies, automotive, chemicals, (3) implications for the trajectory of rates and the balance of “growth vs inflation” among central banks. The agenda also includes a Eurogroup meeting and public comments from monetary bloc representatives.
North America: A Cashless Day, Yet Not Without Price Movements
The closures in the US and Canada heighten the role of futures, currencies, and commodities as “pathways” for global risk. For investors, this serves as a practical signal: to take into account the widening spreads and potential liquidity gaps in instruments tied to the S&P 500 and USD-denominated assets.
Russia and CIS: Context for MOEX
For MOEX, the day unfolds amid limited external liquidity and a busy internal business agenda (Russian Business Week). At the level of individual stocks, the role of “small” corporate triggers begins to play out — operational updates, coupon payments, corporate events; international investors from the CIS typically monitor influence through the ruble and commodity prices.
Corporate Reports: Confirmed Publications for February 16, 2026
The table below captures large public companies that have confirmed publications/results for February 16, 2026 (according to official company calendars and exchange disclosures). If there are no open expectations for revenue/profit, “not specified” is indicated. No major confirmed reports for the US on this date have been identified (holiday).
| Company | Exchange/Region | Expected Key Metrics (Revenue/Profit/Notes) |
|---|---|---|
| Bridgestone Corporation | Japan (TSE) | Annual report for 2025; publication scheduled for 14:30 (Tokyo). Focus: margin, FX effect, guidance. Metrics/consensus — not specified. |
| Sartorius AG | Germany (Frankfurt/Xetra) | Publication of the 2025 annual report. Preliminary: Revenue €3.538 billion; underlying EBITDA €1.052 billion (margin 29.7%); underlying net profit €331 million. |
| Sartorius Stedim Biotech S.A. | France (Euronext Paris) | Publication of the 2025 annual report. Preliminary: Revenue €2.967 billion; underlying EBITDA €914 million (margin 30.8%); net profit €266 million. |
| JB Hi‑Fi Limited | Australia (ASX) | HY26 results presentation. Metrics: sales/margin/dividend — not specified. |
| Stockland | Australia (ASX) | 1H26 Results. Metrics: FFO, portfolio value, development, dividend — not specified. |
| Treasury Wine Estates | Australia (ASX) | Interim results: profit before one-time items ~A$128.5 million; significant asset impairment; dividend suspended (according to media reports). |
| Ansell Limited | Australia (ASX) | Publication of half-year results (as of December 31, 2025). Metrics: revenue/margin/FX — not specified. |
| PJSC "MGKL" | Russia (MOEX) | "Operational results for 1 month" (January 2026) per the issuer's calendar. Revenue/volume details — not specified until publication. |
| US: Major Public Companies | US (NYSE/Nasdaq) | not specified (as of February 16, 2026, major reports are not confirmed; the market is closed) |
Visualizations and Mermaid Timeline for Publication
- FX panel: USD/JPY (reaction to Japan's GDP), EUR/USD and USD/CAD (amid expectations for CPI).
- Sector map: reaction of Euro Stoxx 50 to industrial production (industrial/automotive/chemical sectors).
- Index thermometer: Nikkei 225, Euro Stoxx 50, S&P 500 futures, MOEX — all in one window.
February 16, 2026 (MSK): Economic Events and Corporate Reports 00:00-23:59 : US/Canada — no trading | Mainland China — holiday 00:00-23:59 : Hong Kong — half-day trading (Eve of Lunar New Year) 02:50 : Japan — GDP (Q4 2025, initial estimate) 13:00 : Eurozone — industrial production (December) 16:30 : Canada — CPI (postponed to February 17) 10:00-17:00 : Russia — start of Russian Business Week (RSPP) 00:00-23:59 : Corporate reports — Bridgestone; Sartorius/SSB; Australia (JBH, SGP, ANN, TWE); RF (MGKL)
What Investors Should Pay Attention To
- Risk of a "Thin Market": In the absence of US cash-oriented signals, S&P 500 benchmarks may become less accessible, spreads and slippage might increase.
- Nikkei 225 and Currency: Weak Japan GDP enhances the role of USD/JPY as a global sentiment indicator.
- Euro Stoxx 50: Eurozone industrial production is the main European macro trigger of the day; sector reaction is crucial.
- Canada CPI: The key inflation release shifted to February 17 — Monday may turn into a “waiting day” for CAD assets.
- Corporate Reports: In Europe — details of the annual report for Sartorius/SSB following strong preliminary figures; in Asia — focus on margin and guidance from Bridgestone; in Australia — signals regarding consumer trends (JB Hi‑Fi) and real estate (Stockland), as well as quality of earnings for Treasury Wine Estates.
- MOEX: Internal events and operational updates may increase dispersion among individual stocks; for the CIS portfolio, key factors are managing currency risk and liquidity scenario.
The combination of "economic events" + "corporate reports" on February 16, 2026, should be read with a reference to the holiday calendar: markets reassess risk through Europe, Japan, and currencies, while corporate news takes on disproportionate weight.
