Analytical Overview of Major Token Unlocks from December 8 to 14, 2025. Impact on Token Prices, Risks for Investors, and Key Project Metrics.
During the second week of December 2025, the cryptocurrency market is set to experience a series of significant events with the unlocking of tokens from seven projects, totaling approximately $640 million. For crypto investors, this means a sharp increase in the supply of several assets, which could affect their prices and the overall dynamics of the crypto market. Below is an overview of the top-7 upcoming unlocks for the week (December 8-14, 2025), along with key data and an analysis of the potential impact of these events on the market and investors.
STABLE (Stable)
- Unlock Date: December 8, 2025
- Unlock Volume: 18 billion tokens (18% of total supply)
- Estimated Value: ~$566.38 million
- Total Project Market Capitalization: $3.14 billion
STABLE leads the list as the largest unlock of the week. On one day, nearly one-fifth of all tokens for the project will enter circulation, representing an unprecedented volume equivalent to ~$566 million. Such a one-time issuance poses serious risks for short-term investments: if a significant portion of these tokens hits the market, the price of the STABLE token could face considerable pressure. Investors are closely watching how key holders (such as early backers or the project team) will manage this new issuance. A mass sell-off could lead to a sharp drop in quotes, while holding a significant portion of tokens in long-term wallets or gradually introducing them into circulation will mitigate the effect. This large-scale unlock will test STABLE's liquidity – the market will see if demand can absorb such a substantial increase in supply.
PUMP (pump.fun)
- Unlock Date: December 14, 2025
- Unlock Volume: 10 billion tokens (1% of total supply)
- Estimated Value: ~$29.61 million
- Total Project Market Capitalization: $2.99 billion
PUMP is the token for the Pump.fun platform (a Solana-based launchpad for meme tokens). On December 14, 10 billion PUMP tokens (1% of supply) will be unlocked, worth approximately $30 million. Given the project's high total market capitalization (~$3 billion), the release of just 1% of tokens is expected to be manageable for the market without causing sharp price fluctuations. However, investors are taking volatility into account: even an additional 1% in supply can increase short-term pressure on PUMP's quotes, especially if market sentiments are unstable. If the unlocked coins are intended for early investors or the team, any potential selling will test demand. Successful price retention will indicate robust interest in PUMP, while a surge in sales may lead to a noticeable drop in value.
APT (Aptos)
- Unlock Date: December 12, 2025
- Unlock Volume: 11.31 million tokens (0.95% of total supply)
- Estimated Value: ~$19.88 million
- Total Project Market Capitalization: $2.07 billion
Aptos (APT) is a layer one blockchain supported by major investors. On December 12, a scheduled monthly unlock of 11.31 million APT (approximately 0.95% of the issuance) will occur, with a total value of ~$20 million. Regular unlocks are built into the tokenomics of Aptos – releases are distributed among investors, the team, and the community fund, so the market is somewhat prepared for such events in advance. However, an increase in circulating supply by $20 million can temporarily heighten volatility and pressure the price of the APT token if buyer demand does not grow proportionately. Much depends on market sentiments and the actions of those receiving new tokens. Strong fundamental development within the Aptos ecosystem (growth in DeFi activity, stablecoin integration, and partnership projects) supports base demand and may partially offset the effect of increased supply, maintaining investor interest in the token.
LINEA (Linea)
- Unlock Date: December 10, 2025
- Unlock Volume: 1.02 billion tokens (1.42% of total supply)
- Estimated Value: ~$8.16 million
- Total Project Market Capitalization: $570 million
Linea is a Layer 2 solution from ConsenSys, aimed at Ethereum scalability. On December 10, 1.02 billion LINEA tokens (≈1.42% of the issuance) will enter circulation, totaling ~$8.16 million. Relative to the project size ($570 million market capitalization), this increase in supply is significant. The unlock is aimed at ecosystem development – a substantial portion of new tokens will be allocated to community rewards and strategic partners, meaning not all of the volume will flood the market immediately. However, a sudden increase in available supply creates short-term pressure on LINEA's quotes. With low liquidity, an additional ~$8 million could noticeably affect the price.
MOVE (Movement)
- Unlock Date: December 9, 2025
- Unlock Volume: 161.84 million tokens (1.62% of total supply)
- Estimated Value: ~$7.15 million
- Total Project Market Capitalization: $441 million
Movement (MOVE) is a blockchain project with an average market capitalization (~$441 million). On December 9, the release of 161.84 million MOVE tokens (1.62% of the issuance) is planned, worth ~$7.15 million. For a project with a market capitalization of less than half a billion dollars, this is a significant event. Even a relatively small additional supply can increase volatility for MOVE: in a low liquidity environment, ~$7 million in new sales can significantly reduce the token price. If the main beneficiaries of these tokens are early investors or insiders, there is a risk of increased selling on the open market. Conversely, directing part of the issuance toward strategic project goals or keeping tokens in staking could mitigate immediate price pressure. The outcome of the unlock will showcase how quickly the market can absorb the new issuance without losing confidence in the project.
MOCA (Mocaverse)
- Unlock Date: December 11, 2025
- Unlock Volume: 202.29 million tokens (2.28% of total supply)
- Estimated Value: ~$4.43 million
- Total Project Market Capitalization: $194 million
Mocaverse (MOCA) is the token of the Animoca Brands metaverse and NFT ecosystem. On December 11, 2025, 202.29 million MOCA tokens (2.28% of supply) will be unlocked, amounting to around $4.43 million. For a project with a capitalization of under $200 million, this increase in supply is quite substantial. This event is likely related to the end of prolonged lock-ups: a significant portion of early investor tokens from Animoca was locked until the end of 2025 and is now hitting the market. The low liquidity of MOCA means that even a few million dollars in new tokens can heighten price volatility. If the unlock takes place without mass sell-offs and the price remains stable, confidence in the project will strengthen. Conversely, a sharp drop in the MOCA price would signal investor caution regarding metaverse tokens.
BB (BounceBit)
- Unlock Date: December 13, 2025
- Unlock Volume: 44.70 million tokens (2.13% of total supply)
- Estimated Value: ~$4.04 million
- Total Project Market Capitalization: $191 million
BounceBit (BB) is another relatively small project with a market capitalization of around $191 million. On December 13, 44.70 million BB tokens (2.13% of supply) – approximately $4.04 million at current rates – will be released from lock-up. The unlock of ~2% of the supply will significantly increase the number of coins in circulation, and given the limited trading volumes, an additional $4 million may disrupt the balance of supply and demand, causing a downturn in the token price. Small altcoins often face sharp price movements with an increase in supply: investors may attempt to exit the asset ahead of anticipated declines. Much will depend on the behavior of large holders of BB. If the majority of new tokens do not flood the exchanges immediately (for example, are retained for ecosystem development), the negative impact will be limited. However, should active sales occur, the BB price is likely to decline, reflecting heightened risks in a low-liquidity market.
The Impact of Unlocks on the Crypto Market
The total volume of tokens unlocking during the week of December 8-14, 2025, reaches an impressive ~$640 million. The simultaneous appearance of such a quantity of new tokens raises questions of liquidity for the market: will buyers be able to quickly absorb the additional supply without causing significant price imbalances? Especially large "cliff" unlocks tend to induce spikes in volatility. Investors and traders attempt to predict each other's actions: aware of the impending increase in supply, some choose to sell assets in anticipation of price declines, further intensifying the pressure on quotes even before the event itself.
Thus, the forthcoming series of unlocks presents a number of risks and opportunities for the crypto market and its participants:
- Price Pressure: An increase in circulating supply can intensify price pressure on tokens, especially if market demand does not grow – certain tokens may decline in price while the market "digests" the emergence of new coins.
- Increased Volatility: Simultaneous unlocks from several projects heighten short-term volatility. Speculative activity increases – traders attempt to capitalize on news of the unlocks, leading to sharp price fluctuations.
- Opportunities for Investors: Temporary price decreases resulting from the unlocks may present attractive entry points for long-term investors. Those who believe in the fundamental prospects of the projects may view such dips as an opportunity to increase their positions at a lower cost.
Ultimately, the token unlocks this week will serve as a critical test of the balance of supply and demand within the altcoin market. If the additional coins are absorbed without significant price declines, it will bolster investor confidence and signal market maturity. Conversely, a new wave of selling will indicate that caution prevails and the crypto market remains sensitive to drastic changes in supply.
